Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Zakharova's recent second serve success rate is 40.84%, while Keys has a slightly higher rate at 42.07%. Could this minor advantage impact the overall match outcome? Possibly.
• For return games, Zakharova has done better on second serves, winning 50.66% of points, compared to Keys' 48.82%. On first serve returns, Zakharova again leads with 35.19% over Keys' 30.52%.
• Under pressure, Keys excels with a 53.14% breakpoint save rate, while Zakharova manages 45.06%, favoring Keys in crucial game points.
• In the past year, Keys has a higher match-win percentage at 73.47% compared to Zakharova’s 62.5%. Does the overall winning rate suggest Keys might have the edge?
• Surface performance could play a role. Zakharova’s best is on indoor hard courts (69%), whereas Keys performs best on grass (72%).
• Zakharova has mostly competed at the Challenger/ITF level, winning 72.73% of matches, while Keys has been successful at the Grand Slam level, winning 84.21%. The caliber of opponents has been notably higher for Keys, with an average rank of 43.12 compared to Zakharova’s opponents at 224.31.
• In deciding sets across all matches, Keys has won 67%, superior to Zakharova's 44% success rate, indicating Keys' advantage in high-pressure situations.
• Zakharova edges out with a slight lead in breakpoint conversion at 37.97% versus Keys’ 36%, a marginal but potential influence in close sets.

Editorial Prediction (June 11, 2025, UTC):

Both Zakharova and Keys have shown strengths in different areas with recent performances. Zakharova holds an edge in return stats, demonstrating a notable ability to handle opponents' serves effectively.

Keys, on the other hand, has been more successful under pressure, with a remarkable performance saving breakpoints and winning deciding sets. Her higher win rate against stronger opponents further illustrates her capability at top-level events.

While Zakharova performs well on indoor hard surfaces, Keys shows her prowess on grass. With a higher win percentage in prestigious tournaments and excellent pressure handling skills, Keys appears to have the favorable edge in this matchup.

Based on these factors, Madison Keys is most likely to win the upcoming tennis match against Zakharova.